- Trends and scenarios of the world energy sector development in the first half of the 21st century
Trends and scenarios of the world energy sector development in the first half of the 21st century.
A.M. Belogoriev, V.V. Bushuev, A.I. Gromov, N.K. Kurichev, A.M. Mastepanov, A.A. Troitskiy.
Under the editorship of V.V. Bushuev
M.: PH "ENERGYA", 2011. 68 pg. Download
(pdf, 2,27 Мb).
This publication contains substantive provisions of the global energy sector development forecast for the period up to 2050. The forecast of development of all key industries of the energy sector and the forecast of the energy sector trends in the leading countries and world regions has been built on the basis of the analysis of historical and current trends. The scenario approach used in the publication makes it possible to tie-in trends observed in various regions of the world, and in various industries of the energy sector, as well as to correlate technological, energy, economic, social and political factors. The analysis of quantitative trends and future-oriented structure of the fuel and energy balance is combined with the analysis of qualitative trends of the world energy sector development: reorganisation of energy markets and corporate structure of the energy sector, regulatory systems and geopolitical priorities of the leading countries of the world. This publication shall be a foundation for preparation of the White Book (a comprehensive survey of the today's world energy sector and a forecast of its growth which could be used as a basis for recommendations on priority directions and challenges of its development).